BuildSMARTMaterial intelligence

Supply chain scenario explorer

Reference dataset active / revision 01
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Baseline and projected material outlook

NBVC · Pacific Southwest example · 30,000 GSF · 2035 construction · session only, not procurement guidance

Demand index
27.5

24% recovered-stock credit

Demand coverage
79%

Fixture basis · 1 active availability stressor

Import exposure
37%

Fixture basis · 30% staged SCM pathway

Material cost
$1.35M

Fixture basis · model gap

View 01
Reference

Baseline material demand

Reference demand · recovered material shown as hatched supply credit

Baseline material demandMaterial demand shares shown as a normalized index. Limited segments are hatched when requested. Reuse is a scenario setting, not a quantified source share of this ring. Focus a segment to inspect its share.TOTAL INDEX204REUSE ENABLED
Concrete
36%
Structural steel
24%
SCM blend
8%
Aggregates
32%
Mix indexDemand basis
Demand mix, not massReuse included
Baseline material demand: normalized material demand
MaterialDemand indexShareAvailabilityRisk
Concrete7436.3%92%low
Structural steel4823.5%86%low
SCM blend167.8%74%watch
Aggregates6632.4%89%low
View 02
Model gap

Baseline material cost

Demand-weighted allocation · baseline year only

Demand-weighted allocation proxy

$1.3M
Total envelope
Relative material cost-driver indexHorizontal bars compare demand-weighted cost-driver indexes. Dollar labels allocate the modeled total envelope by demand; they are not material unit prices.0255075100Concrete92% AVAILABLE100$464.3KStructural steel86% AVAILABLE65$301.2KSCM blend74% AVAILABLE22$100.4KAggregates89% AVAILABLE89$414.1KRELATIVE COST-DRIVER INDEXALLOCATED ENVELOPE

MODEL GAP — Allocations follow normalized demand because reviewed material unit prices are not present in the reference dataset.

Illustrative demand-weighted material cost allocation
MaterialCost-driver indexEstimated allocationAvailability
Concrete100$464.3K92%
Structural steel65$301.2K86%
SCM blend22$100.4K74%
Aggregates89$414.1K89%
View 03
2035 scenario

Projected material demand

2035 scenario · limited availability is hatched; a year-varying demand profile is not modeled

Projected material demandMaterial demand shares shown as a normalized index. Limited segments are hatched when requested. Reuse is a scenario setting, not a quantified source share of this ring. Focus a segment to inspect its share.TOTAL INDEX214REUSE ENABLED
Concrete
33%
Structural steel
21%
SCM blend
14%
Aggregates
31%
Mix indexDemand basis
Demand mix, not massReuse includedLimited availability
Projected material demand: normalized material demand
MaterialDemand indexShareAvailabilityRisk
Concrete7133.2%83%low
Structural steel4621.5%75%watch
SCM blend3114.5%67%watch
Aggregates6630.8%85%low
Construction year2035
View 04
Not geospatial

Projected material availability

Schematic availability field · one material focus at a time

Schematic supply field · FY 2035

Illustrative · not mapped
Projected material availabilityAn illustrative, non-geospatial index field places two notional cells for SCM blend relative to a scenario anchor. Hatched areas identify materials currently flagged as constrained or on watch. Cells, connectors, and field contours are diagram geometry, not mapped boundaries, sources, or routes.Index cell AIndex cell BScenario anchorCONSTRAINED HATCH2 MATERIALS FLAGGED

NOT A GEOSPATIAL CLAIM — Cells, contours, and connectors are abstract index geometry; they do not identify facilities, suppliers, or routes.

SCM blend: 67%
Illustrative projected material availability for FY 2035
MaterialAvailabilityRiskSelected
Concrete83%lowNo
Structural steel75%watchNo
SCM blend67%watchYes
Aggregates85%lowNo
Construction year2035
Watch signal
SCM blend
67% availability
Pattern links the lowest-availability view
Automatic vulnerability explanation

What is creating pressure in this run?

Risk score 39

Import disruption creates the largest modeled pressure on clinker and specialty steel. SCM blend is the lowest-availability material in the active fixture at 67% availability.

Affected material
SCM blend
Cost signal
+3.3% fixture proxy
Energy signal
Not modeled

Next comparison: Compare domestic supply capacity with a staged SCM substitution before briefing.

Baseline / active scenario

What changed in this run

2035 horizon
SCM utilization
30%+30 points
Recovered stock
24%enabled
Demand coverage
79%-15 points
Baseline and projected material availability comparison
MaterialBaselineProjectedChangeStatus
Concrete92%83%-9low
Structural steel86%75%-11watch
SCM blend74%67%-7watch
Aggregates89%85%-4low
Methods

Evidence ledger

4 inputs
Archetype material intensitiesreview required
Regional concrete recipefixture placeholder
Material flow analysisplanned source
Generalized cost modelmodel gap